Jonathan Day: Science in the Media
Jonathan's research interests focus on polar climate variability, predictability and the mass balance of both land and sea ice. He is presently working on the NERC funded APPOSITE project, assessing the potential for seasonal forecasting in the Arctic.
Uncertain signs of rain
by Ed Hawkins
In the AR4, the IPCC presented this figure showing the consensus in precipitation projections for the 21st century, designed to be of use to planning for adaptation and mitigation. The coloured regions show where changes are likely to occur. My interest is in the white areas where models cannot agree on the sign of the change.
Getting out of the attic
by Paul Williams
Creativity seems to be unleashed by a change of scenery and a break from routine. For example, Alexander Graham Bell's crucial insight that led to the invention of the telephone in the 1870s came, not while tinkering obsessively in his attic in the middle of the night, but while "slouched on a wicker chair" after going for a walk "far from the bustle of Boston", according to Charlotte Gray's biography.
Skewed climate projections
by Stan Yip
I have recently been working on separating uncertainty in climate predictions . I use variance as a measure of uncertainty for the application in the paper, although this is not always valid for all kinds of data.